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Post by kirmingtonuser on Nov 26, 2018 17:49:06 GMT
Terminal and transit passengers 17,905 (16,061 +11%)
Terminal 17,820 Transit 85
Aberdeen per ABZ 2,230 (1,740 +28%)
Aberdeen per HUY 1,971 (1,762 +12%)
Bristol 58 (0)
Durham Tees Valley per MME Not reported (55)
Durham Tees Valley per HUY 22 (122)
Marham 0 (18)
Norwich 0 (81)
Warton 0 (54)
Bergamo 0 (170)
Bergen 0 (36)
Amsterdam 11,844 (10,346 +14%)
Funchal 226 (0)
Palma 1,575 (1,636 -4%)
Oil Rigs 2,124 (1,701 +25%)
Please double-check the Amsterdam figure!
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Post by Humberside on Nov 26, 2018 19:52:30 GMT
That's an excellent set of provisional figures. AMS double checked and it definetly is what the CAA currently have reported! Please correct me if I'm wrong, but that is the highest monthly AMS total for any month since October 2008
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Post by kirmingtonuser on Nov 27, 2018 16:29:33 GMT
All the Amsterdam flights operated as scheduled and there were four Saturdays in the month. This resulted in 178 flights compared with 175 in October last year. The average load was 66.5 passengers compared with 59.1, an increase of 12.5%.
If only 82 seats are used on the E175, the load factor would have been 81.1%.
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Post by mrmoose on Nov 27, 2018 18:58:07 GMT
Any idea why AMS has increased significantly in the last 3 months?
I don't track prices, but I haven't noticed a huge reduction, so hopefully higher loads aren't at the expense of lower yields? Are those that switched to Flybe from DSA coming back? I know a few tour operators were planning to use the route, but didn't think the numbers were that big.
Were now up to 124509 pa rolling year on AMS, the 2017 full year figure was 118129, growth of 5.4%. Some way off the 2008 figure of 140k still - I wonder at what point KLM would consider upgrading some rotations to the E190 or re-instating the long lost 4th daily rotation?
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Post by kirmingtonuser on Nov 28, 2018 16:16:07 GMT
It is worthwhile to summarise the 2018 figures to compare the overall increases with the rises in average loads. Ignoring the blanking-off of seats, the capacity of an Embraer 175 is 10% larger than that of a Fokker 70. Because some flights are always going to be difficult to fill (e.g. the Sunday morning inbound), one would expect the overall load factor to remain well below 100% and the target for 2018 to have been a 10% increase in passengers on each flight.
The monthly changes are shown below with the increases in average load shown in brackets.
Jan +10% (+3.9%)
Feb +10% (+9.6%)
Mar +0% (+9.5%)
Apr +2% (+9.9%)
May -2% (+5.5%)
June +4% (+7.8%)
July +4% (+5.4%)
Aug +12% (+9.9%)
Sep +11% (+10.9%)
Oct +14% (+12.5%)
March and April were affected by bad weather. The period from the end of March to mid-July was affected by the cancellation of the mid-morning Sunday rotation. I once travelled outbound on this flight and there seemed to be a high proportion of business travellers. Could these passengers have had to use another airport when the flights were not operating? If so, they might have returned to another airport, depressing the HUY loads. This might explain why growth in loads was depressed in May-Jul as well as growth in overall numbers.
Prices at HUY still seem to be higher than elsewhere, so yields should not have suffered. Current prices of a return to Amsterdam for the low-season dates of 8th-15th January are DSA £50, LBA £78 (KLM) and HUY £116. This reflects the quality of the HUY passenger base and possibly the current ramping-up of the wind-farm traffic.
There seems to be a shortage of slots at Schiphol, so an upgrade to an E190 would appear more likely than a fourth rotation.
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Post by kirmingtonuser on Nov 29, 2018 20:27:23 GMT
The Palma load factor was 92.6%.
The Funchal load factor was 75.3%.
Air Transport Movements were :- Scheduled 318. Charter 350.
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Post by kirmingtonuser on Dec 2, 2018 16:32:24 GMT
On the subject of the other questions which have been raised:-
The Flybe route to Amsterdam appears to cater mainly for leisure travellers. The above quoted fare is for for a Wednesday departure in January. For the same week, the Friday to Sunday fare is higher at DSA than it is at HUY. Regular business travellers produce higher quality earnings for airlines than do leisure travellers.
The HUY website lists five tour operators who offer packages using KLM. Newmarket is one of them and they were only offering Russia and Norway this year. On the face of it , I.T. traffic has not been generating most of the increase in passenger numbers. There may be some growth in this area next year as Newmarket, for example are doubling the number of destinations offered. It allows the airline to discount prices without being seen to do so.
With continued favourable weather, the Amsterdam total for the year might reach 126,000. November 2018 had only one cancelled rotation, so the number of flights should be the same as last year. Comparisons with last year from now onwards will be with an E175 rather than a F70, so explosive growth should not be expected. In December,there seems to be a reduction of planned rotations this year, so the weather will be crucial. Last December's weather in Amsterdam was very poor, resulting in many cancelled flights. If there are no cancellations in December this year, there will be three more flights than last year.
Wind farm traffic seems to be gaining momentum, with November rotations well up on October. As we know, the Oil Rigs figure is notoriously unpredictable!
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Post by kirmingtonuser on Dec 4, 2018 20:59:40 GMT
The totals of the seasonal routes are as follows, with the 2017 figures in brackets.
Alicante 0 (928)
Palma 9,292 (10,205 - two operators)
Tenerife 0 (5,428)
Burgas 6,127 (6,083)
Jersey 2,262 (2,236)
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