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Post by Thames Gateway on Apr 13, 2011 22:14:21 GMT
Does anyone know if Inflite are able to do line maintenance for ATR's yet?
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Post by expressflight on Apr 14, 2011 15:29:52 GMT
A total of 816 pax were carried on the SEN-GWY & SEN-WAT flights in the last five days March 2011; 300 on the GWY route and 516 on the WAT route. I estimate that equates to approximately 26 pax per flight.
The totals for LTN-GWY were 4,179 and LTN-WAT 2,872 for the whole of March.
Therefore the GWY route generated a total of 4,479 to both UK airports, this being a slight rise on the numbers for March 2010. The WAT to UK route showed a massive decline of more than 40% at 3,388 compared to a March 2010 figure of 5,560. I can only assume this reflects the situation within the Waterford catchment economy, since the GWY figure held up well.
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Post by Thames Gateway on Apr 21, 2011 20:05:17 GMT
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Post by expressflight on May 3, 2011 7:35:18 GMT
The split of services between SEN and LTN to WAT and GWY is being adjusted wef 2 June 2011.
The four-times weekly WAT-LTN and GWY-LTN will all be direct flights (they currently all operate via WAT) while most of the SEN services from GWY will be via WAT. It was reported that only the Sunday, Monday & Thursday morning GWY-SEN flights will in future be direct, but I can find only the Sunday and Monday flights as being direct on the booking system. These changes obviously mean a considerable reduction in capacity on the SEN routes, although if all flights are operated by the ATR72 the reduction will be less than if it's a 42/72 mix as at present.
This move obviously reflects the continued customer preference for LTN and the fact that SEN has not been able to deliver the customer experience that had been promised. Transit times from aircraft to station platform (at Rochford) must be close to 30 minutes at times and the lack of facilities in the current terminal and an additional flight time of 10 minutes all add up to a non-competitive offering compared to LTN.
My comments recently in the Airlines/Routes thread seem not to have been wide of the mark and Aer Arann are taking the action they feel necessary to remedy the situation.
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Post by expressflight on May 6, 2011 9:07:04 GMT
I see that Aer Arann have already started combining the GWY-SEN and WAT-SEN flights. I believe yesterday morning was combined, as is this morning and I think Saturday will be also, although at least they do seem to mainly use an ATR72 on the combined flights. The evening flights seem to have largely remained separate flights over the past few days.
Another snapshot of the difficult conditions at present comes from Flybe who say they have experienced a drop in passengers taking 'non-essential travel' flights. They are bringing in a fuel surcharge in September and are considering parking up some aircraft.
At least the oil price has been falling like stone for the past three days so perhaps the worst is over for the time being.
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Post by Thames Gateway on May 13, 2011 17:20:05 GMT
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Post by Thames Gateway on May 24, 2011 21:28:59 GMT
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Post by expressflight on May 25, 2011 6:42:38 GMT
I doubt that the maths is really possible unless someone went through all the movement records to see when ATR42 or 72 was used. Also the CAA stats don't yet give a route breakdown for those figures.
I had been thinking what would be a just about acceptable figure for the month and that was 6,000 so these must fall into the 'very disappointing' category at 5,266. I estimated that LTN-WAT-GWY would see 2,000 for the month and that came out in fact at 2,039, so the LTN routes will have earned high yields in April. The LTN and SEN routes combined therefore carried 7,305 during April 2011.
Last April the LTN routes carried 8,548 but these were distorted by the volcanic ash closures in that month and I estimate that the April 2011 figures should have been around 9,500 in total, had the routes remained wholely from LTN, taking into account the historic decline on the routes since 2009 which continued through March this year. It would suggest, therefore, that some 2,000 pax were lost in the month as a result of the transfer of the bulk of the flights to SEN.
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Post by expressflight on May 26, 2011 6:19:58 GMT
I've had a try at estimating load factor based upon a calculated 188 sectors during the month of April (that seems to have been the timetabled number). That makes it 28 pax per sector and on the very rough assumption, which I have not verified, that two-thirds of the flights may have been by ATR42 we get a load factor of approximately 51%.
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Post by mikkie4 on May 31, 2011 1:42:50 GMT
summer time special,all aer arenn flights half price from southend.this should boost passenger numbers/load factors
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Post by aurigny72 on Jun 2, 2011 20:43:22 GMT
Can anyone confirm that Aer Arann will be basing 2 ATRs at Southend from this October, and any ideas on possible routes they will operate?.
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Post by expressflight on Jun 5, 2011 7:32:32 GMT
I'm afraid for me it's a case of 'the more you know the less you can say' on this subject. All will become clear within the next month though.
Doesn't anyone want to speculate on the possible routes they might choose if two aircraft were SEN-based?
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Post by devonian on Jun 5, 2011 21:30:53 GMT
OK, I will. If two ATRs were based at SEN I would hope that they would be flying to the Netherlands, Germany and Denmark - and maybe France and Switzerland. Amsterdam and Frankfurt are key destinations, but I'd hope that they would be reserved for someone flying jets, so let's speculate that Rotterdam, Copenhagen and Cologne might be on the list, and perhaps Strasbourg and Geneva also........... and perhaps Le Touquet if Expressflight is closely involved!
But what do I know? It could be Rochester after all....
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Post by SENtence on Jun 6, 2011 0:01:33 GMT
Dublin and then some French routes - L'Orient, Brest All just wild guesses really.
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Post by roche on Jun 7, 2011 15:12:53 GMT
Isn't Copenhagen a little too far for an ATR? I thought Lorient was primarily a summer destination? I agree that Dublin would be a logical destination. The MD of the airport mentioned Antwerp as a possible route once the station was up and running, so maybe that's a possibility. Starting new routes in October suggests either big cities or somewhere with access to a ski resort - wherever they fly, I wish them luck. I see Galway airport has today secured enough funding from the Irish government to stay in business until at least the end of this year - makes you realise how lucky SEN is to have Stobart as its owners.
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